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The years 2008 and 2009 will be remembered
as the period when the world went into its worst
economic recession since World War Two. Although
major economies are experiencing a slowdown
in their rates of decline and there are signs that
the global recession may be near its bottom, the
recovery process is likely to be slow and painful
with unemployment a major problem to be resolved.
Against this backdrop, the Group is cautiously
optimistic that FY2010 will be a better year for the
Group, having put in place policies and controls
to better manage its key risks and exceptional
losses of the nature experienced in FY2009.
FFB production volume from our estates in
Malaysia is expected to rebound from its decline
in FY2009 due to more favourable weather
conditions and better yielding trees coming to
maturity. We have begun planting on our land in
Indonesia. With 78% of our Group planted acreage
in Malaysia within the prime ages of 7 to 20 years
old, production volume will increase steadily over
the next few years to meet increasing demand.
Demand for palm oil and its products remain strong
supported by resilient demand from the food
sector, price competitiveness over other edible
oils and higher consumption in emerging markets
such as China and India. Prices of palm oil are also
expected to be underpinned by the relatively low
world vegetable oil stock to usage ratio and strong
biofuel commitments from developed countries.
Prospects for the Group’s resource-based
manufacturing business are expected to remain
mixed, with soft demand and compressed margins
in the oleochemical sector but stable volume
and margins in the refinery and specialty fats
sectors. We are continuing to invest in building
new capacity to grow our downstream businesses
and our refinery expansion in the Netherlands to
produce mainly value added margarine ingredients
and our Bionexus-status plant in Johor to supply
enzymatic components to the Group are expected
to be completed by the second quarter of 2010.
With a development land bank of approximately
6,000 acres, the Group’s proven track record in
township development will provide a strong base
for the Group’s property business. Our strength in
township development has also enabled the Group
to build more commercial properties in existing
mature developments for investment to earn good
rental returns. The property market in Singapore
has shown encouraging signs of revival lately
and this is expected to further improve once the
integrated resorts are completed beginning in the
first quarter of 2010. This augers well for our projects
in Sentosa Cove which we expect to commence
launching by the middle of 2010. The successful
privatisation of IOI Prop has also provided the
property business with access to a much larger
balance sheet and the necessary financial
resources to complete its large-scale projects. |